All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
St. Xavier Tiger Run |
Run For the Gold |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Crawford County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
10/5 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
324 | |
361 |
376 |
321 |
340 |
353 |
397 |
372 |
347 |
318 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
361 |
376 |
321 |
340 |
353 |
397 |
372 |
347 |
304 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
St. Xavier Tiger Run |
Run For the Gold |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational |
Hoosier Hills Conference |
Crawford County Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 36 |
Adeline Shultz |
10 |
19:03 |
20:23 |
19:25 |
21:36 |
19:24 |
19:05 |
18:57 |
20:04 |
19:31 |
19:15 |
18:55 |
| 48 |
Noel Nifong |
9 |
19:12 |
|
19:03 |
19:20 |
18:41 |
19:16 |
19:14 |
20:01 |
19:31 |
19:34 |
19:03 |
| 119 |
Emma Campbell |
10 |
19:51 |
21:12 |
20:36 |
20:53 |
20:17 |
20:22 |
19:59 |
20:17 |
19:53 |
19:54 |
19:43 |
| 215 |
Isabella Milliner |
9 |
20:31 |
|
20:33 |
20:34 |
20:35 |
20:39 |
21:02 |
20:50 |
20:54 |
20:34 |
20:22 |
| 444 |
Kara Walter |
10 |
21:24 |
21:22 |
21:17 |
19:15 |
21:47 |
22:05 |
|
23:12 |
|
|
|
| 447 |
Jenna Wheatley |
10 |
21:26 |
22:00 |
21:34 |
21:12 |
21:01 |
21:08 |
21:20 |
21:03 |
21:36 |
21:44 |
21:38 |
| 488 |
Avery Fuhrmann |
11 |
21:33 |
|
21:32 |
|
21:36 |
22:03 |
21:41 |
20:51 |
21:19 |
21:21 |
21:52 |
| 691 |
Georgia Atzinger |
11 |
22:03 |
|
21:59 |
22:11 |
21:56 |
22:19 |
23:19 |
22:05 |
21:51 |
22:15 |
21:54 |
| 695 |
Emma Polk |
11 |
22:04 |
|
|
|
21:51 |
22:13 |
21:50 |
22:16 |
|
|
|
| 857 |
Anna Lukinovich |
10 |
22:27 |
|
22:33 |
22:34 |
21:53 |
22:30 |
21:58 |
22:54 |
|
|
|
| 1,013 |
Bella Barnes |
11 |
22:49 |
21:17 |
|
|
22:37 |
22:59 |
22:32 |
22:50 |
|
|
|
|
Maya Brogan |
10 |
25:27 |
23:23 |
|
|
23:56 |
|
|
26:36 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
16.4 |
400 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
5.5 |
8.8 |
14.2 |
16.9 |
15.8 |
13.2 |
9.6 |
6.0 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.1 |
110 |
0.3 |
3.7 |
83.2 |
11.3 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adeline Shultz |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Noel Nifong |
100% |
51.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Campbell |
100% |
118.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.5% |
| Isabella Milliner |
100% |
183.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.0% |
| Jenna Wheatley |
100% |
229.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Avery Fuhrmann |
100% |
232.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Georgia Atzinger |
100% |
242.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adeline Shultz |
100% |
5.5 |
2.6 |
5.2 |
8.6 |
11.4 |
14.6 |
15.3 |
13.2 |
10.3 |
7.5 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Noel Nifong |
100% |
7.3 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
5.8 |
8.9 |
11.8 |
13.6 |
13.4 |
12.5 |
9.3 |
6.5 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Campbell |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
8.1 |
8.5 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Milliner |
100% |
33.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jenna Wheatley |
100% |
57.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Avery Fuhrmann |
100% |
61.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Georgia Atzinger |
100% |
85.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Adeline Shultz |
1.0 |
71.5 |
28.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Noel Nifong |
1.3 |
28.5 |
71.1 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Campbell |
2.5 |
|
0.4 |
92.6 |
5.9 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isabella Milliner |
4.4 |
|
|
0.5 |
37.0 |
29.7 |
24.3 |
8.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jenna Wheatley |
8.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
9.6 |
30.1 |
22.1 |
14.4 |
9.5 |
5.6 |
3.6 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Avery Fuhrmann |
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
4.2 |
16.5 |
23.6 |
16.9 |
12.3 |
10.2 |
7.2 |
4.8 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Georgia Atzinger |
14.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.1 |
5.3 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
14.4 |
17.4 |
16.0 |
14.3 |
5.7 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
